Everton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
IPS
0 - 2
EVE
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1984 |
EVE
3 - 4
CHL
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1984 |
EVE
5 - 0
NTT
54%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
QPR
0 - 0
EVE
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
LIV
1 - 0
LUT
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
LUT
2 - 0
COV
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1984 |
LUT
1 - 2
WBA
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1984 |
LEI
2 - 2
LUT
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
LUT
1 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |