Everton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
IPS
0 - 2
EVE
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
EVE
0 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
WHU
2 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
EVE
0 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
LUT
3 - 1
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
SWA
2 - 0
LUT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1982 |
TOT
1 - 0
LUT
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
LUT
3 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
COV
4 - 2
LUT
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |