Everton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 0
TOT
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BIR
0 - 3
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
EVE
3 - 0
LEI
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
LUT
0 - 0
STO
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
LUT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
SHE
1 - 1
LUT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUT
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
LUT
1 - 1
CHL
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |