Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
46%
28%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
EVE
0 - 0
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
NOR
4 - 2
EVE
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
46%
26%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
HIB
1 - 0
LIV
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
IPS
2 - 0
LIV
52%
26%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
LIV
1 - 0
SHE
68%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
LEI
1 - 1
LIV
38%
30%
32%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |