Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1964 |
SHW
0 - 3
EVE
52%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
EVE
1 - 1
IPS
73%
16%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
BUR
2 - 3
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
EVE
0 - 3
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1963 |
LEI
2 - 0
EVE
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1964 |
LIV
6 - 1
SHE
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
WHU
1 - 0
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1963 |
LIV
6 - 1
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1963 |
BPO
0 - 1
LIV
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |