Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1948 |
STO
1 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
6 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
ARS
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
WOL
0 - 0
LIV
69%
16%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
SHE
1 - 2
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |