Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
CHL
3 - 1
EVE
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
EVE
3 - 0
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
EVE
1 - 1
HUR
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 0
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
CHA
2 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1947 |
OPA
1 - 0
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1947 |
SHE
3 - 1
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |