Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BOL
5 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
SHW
4 - 0
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 4
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
SHE
2 - 0
EVE
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
5 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 0
SHE
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
SHE
4 - 0
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 3
LIV
62%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |