Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 1
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
2 - 6
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
BIR
1 - 3
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
SHW
1 - 0
EVE
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 0
OPA
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 2
LIV
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1928 |
SHE
1 - 3
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
LIV
6 - 3
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |