Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
BCF
1 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
WHU
1 - 2
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
LIV
0 - 3
LEI
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |