Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
OLD
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
BBU
2 - 2
EVE
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 0
BBU
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOT
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
TOT
0 - 1
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
LIV
4 - 0
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 1
LIV
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |