Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
EVE
3 - 1
SHW
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
WBA
0 - 0
EVE
50%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 3
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
BBU
6 - 2
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
DER
1 - 1
LIV
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1913 |
LIV
5 - 0
BOL
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 5
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |