Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
EVE
4 - 1
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 2
TOT
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
MID
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
WBA
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1913 |
MAC
4 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |