Everton vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 2
TOT
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
BRI
0 - 1
EVE
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHW
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1911 |
BOL
2 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 2
LIV
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |