Everton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
4 - 2
EVE
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
EVE
1 - 0
WOL
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIV
71%
15%
13%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
HUR
3 - 0
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
EVE
5 - 1
OPA
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
LEE
1 - 0
WOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
MID
1 - 2
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
LEE
8 - 2
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
LIV
3 - 0
LEE
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
HUR
0 - 1
LEE
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |