Everton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
2 - 1
BBU
60%
19%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
WHU
2 - 4
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 1
EVE
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
LEE
4 - 1
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
LEE
2 - 1
BUR
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
LEE
4 - 1
WHU
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |