Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 6-1
Everton vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
64%
19%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
CHL
5 - 1
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
KIL
0 - 2
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEE
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
44%
23%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
ABE
1 - 1
KIL
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
KIL
1 - 1
GLA
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
KIL
0 - 2
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
KIL
1 - 1
MHE
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
0 - 1
KIL
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |