Everton vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1968 |
WBA
1 - 0
EVE
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
WHU
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
EVE
3 - 0
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1968 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEE
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1968 |
FUL
2 - 2
SOU
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
FUL
0 - 2
STO
54%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
LIV
4 - 1
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1968 |
SHE
2 - 3
FUL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
FUL
2 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |