Everton vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1951 |
EVE
3 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1951 |
OPA
6 - 3
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
EVE
0 - 3
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1951 |
BPO
1 - 0
FUL
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1951 |
FUL
3 - 0
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
FUL
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
FUL
3 - 5
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |