FA Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Everton vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
FUL
1 - 1
EVE
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 2
WOL
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
WOL
1 - 1
EVE
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
EVE
1 - 3
DER
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
BPO
5 - 0
EVE
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
FUL
1 - 1
EVE
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
FUL
1 - 1
BCF
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
FUL
5 - 2
BRO
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
LEE
0 - 1
FUL
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
FUL
3 - 1
LEI
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |