FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-0
Everton vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
4.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
WAT
1 - 3
EVE
24%
26%
49%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
EXE
0 - 0
EVE
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
MUD
5 - 1
EVE
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
EXE
1 - 2
HAR
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
EXE
0 - 0
EVE
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
HUL
4 - 0
EXE
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EXE
3 - 2
GUL
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
EXE
1 - 2
NOR
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |