Everton vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
LEE
1 - 0
EVE
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
COV
0 - 0
EVE
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
EVE
2 - 0
NTT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
DER
0 - 2
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
MID
6 - 1
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
DER
3 - 2
CHL
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
DER
3 - 2
COV
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
LEI
4 - 2
DER
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |