Everton vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 3
EVE
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 1
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
WOL
4 - 0
EVE
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 2
TOT
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
BPO
4 - 0
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
DER
2 - 3
OPA
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 2
DER
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
MID
1 - 1
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
DER
3 - 0
HUR
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |