Everton vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 3
EVE
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1935 |
EVE
2 - 2
SHW
59%
18%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1935 |
DER
4 - 1
EVE
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
BBU
6 - 2
EVE
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
70%
15%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1935 |
ARS
0 - 1
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1935 |
DER
1 - 1
BBU
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1935 |
DER
4 - 1
EVE
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
WBA
4 - 3
DER
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
DER
1 - 2
LEE
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |