Everton vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
EVE
5 - 2
TOT
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
SUN
7 - 0
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
EVE
6 - 2
SUN
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
SHW
0 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
DER
2 - 0
WOL
63%
18%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
WOL
5 - 1
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
DER
3 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
BBU
2 - 5
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |