Everton vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 3
EVE
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
EVE
0 - 1
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
EVE
0 - 1
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1913 |
BRO
0 - 4
EVE
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
SHE
4 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
DER
3 - 3
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
DER
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1913 |
DER
0 - 3
SUN
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |