Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
WBA
3 - 1
EVE
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
MID
0 - 0
EVE
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
EVE
1 - 0
IPS
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
COV
3 - 2
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
LEI
0 - 2
CHL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
CHL
1 - 1
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
NTT
3 - 1
CHL
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |