Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1961 |
STF
2 - 1
EVE
19%
19%
62%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
WHU
4 - 0
EVE
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 2
BOL
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
WOL
4 - 1
EVE
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
LEI
4 - 1
EVE
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
BPO
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 1
FUL
63%
17%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
WHU
3 - 1
CHL
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
WOL
6 - 1
CHL
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |