Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
WOL
4 - 0
EVE
63%
18%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
EVE
2 - 2
ASV
61%
18%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
MID
6 - 1
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
EVE
1 - 3
HUR
60%
18%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 2
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
BIR
2 - 1
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
50%
22%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
WBA
1 - 2
CHL
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1935 |
BBU
1 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |