Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
STO
1 - 2
EVE
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
EVE
1 - 2
WOL
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
52%
21%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
EVE
0 - 1
HUR
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
LEI
3 - 1
EVE
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
WBA
3 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
CHL
0 - 2
DER
41%
24%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
SHW
2 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
43%
24%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |