Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 2
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
BOL
4 - 2
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
CHL
3 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1921 |
CHL
5 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
ASV
3 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHL
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |