Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
1 - 2
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
WBA
1 - 2
EVE
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
0 - 3
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
EVE
0 - 1
SHW
58%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
4 - 1
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
SHW
3 - 2
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |