Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
OLD
2 - 0
EVE
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
EVE
0 - 6
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
SHE
4 - 1
EVE
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
EVE
2 - 3
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
CHL
0 - 2
WBA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
CHL
0 - 3
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
45%
23%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |