Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
BOL
0 - 1
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
COV
0 - 2
EVE
37%
24%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
SHE
3 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
1 - 4
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
SHE
0 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
CHL
3 - 1
BBU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |