Everton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
2 - 0
EVE
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1908 |
SOU
3 - 2
EVE
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BRI
0 - 0
CHL
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
CHL
3 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |