Everton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
NEW
0 - 4
EVE
53%
20%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
EVE
2 - 2
BBU
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 0
BIR
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
BBU
1 - 3
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1961 |
WBA
3 - 0
EVE
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 0
CAR
72%
16%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 1
BBU
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
CHL
6 - 1
CAR
71%
15%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
CAR
0 - 2
BIR
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |