Everton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
BCF
1 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
EVE
3 - 0
BBU
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
BBU
2 - 2
EVE
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
SHE
11 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
WBA
3 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 2
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 3
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |