Everton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
4 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 0
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
WBA
3 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
4 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
WBA
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 0
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |