Everton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 1
WHU
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
WHU
2 - 1
EVE
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
CAR
35%
30%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1924 |
BBU
2 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 2
NOT
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |