Everton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
0 - 2
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
BBU
5 - 1
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
EVE
2 - 0
BBU
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 0
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 2
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
0 - 2
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
4 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 3
CAR
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |