Everton vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1912 |
EVE
3 - 0
WBA
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
SHW
1 - 3
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 3
BBU
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 0
BCF
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
BCF
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |