Everton vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 2
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 3
MAC
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
3 - 2
EVE
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 1
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 6
BCF
77%
14%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 0
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |