Everton vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
5 - 1
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
1 - 2
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
SHW
1 - 2
BCF
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
3 - 1
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
1 - 2
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 1
BCF
76%
14%
11%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
BCF
2 - 3
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |