Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
BOL
2 - 1
EVE
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1959 |
BUR
5 - 2
EVE
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 2
LUT
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
EVE
0 - 1
WOL
29%
23%
47%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1959 |
CHL
3 - 1
EVE
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
BUR
1 - 3
WHU
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1959 |
BUR
5 - 2
EVE
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 3
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
BUR
2 - 2
NEW
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1959 |
ASV
0 - 0
BUR
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |