Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 4
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
WOL
2 - 1
EVE
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1956 |
BPO
5 - 2
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
EVE
2 - 2
BOL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 2
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 0
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1956 |
BUR
3 - 1
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
CAR
3 - 3
BUR
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |