Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
PNE
0 - 0
EVE
71%
16%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
EVE
3 - 2
WOL
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
WOL
1 - 3
EVE
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
EVE
2 - 3
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
EVE
3 - 1
SHW
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
PNE
0 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 2
PNE
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
CAR
0 - 3
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 4
MUD
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |