Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
DER
2 - 0
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
0 - 0
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 0
BPO
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 2
LIV
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 1
WOL
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |