Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
HUR
3 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 3
LIV
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 1
HUR
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
LIV
3 - 2
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1926 |
ARS
1 - 2
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
BUR
2 - 2
WHU
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |