Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
1 - 0
WHU
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 5
HUR
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARS
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
MAC
3 - 3
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |