Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
0 - 2
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
5 - 1
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
0 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
1 - 0
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
EVE
5 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 5
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
0 - 2
HUR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
31%
30%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |